Skip to main content

Bottom has reached !

Obama gave an exceptional acceptance speech which would make even skeptics vote for him. Democratic party made an excellent choice as their presidential candidate and I fully support Obama for President. America needs change and who is better than Obama ?

Now coming to main topic - I have been calling market bottom for some weeks. With today's GDP report, I can confidently say that market have reached bottom few weeks back and it is on its way towards 12500 by end of year. Most promising part of today's market move was that financials have come back in a big way. I was glad that my call on mortgage insurers was so on the mark with 4 of my recommendations up by 20-50% in last few days. Since these stocks are still down by 80% from their peaks, I would recommend staying invested in these stocks or making positions when they come down little-bit (check out my recommended entry points in previous post).

I see scenario playing out exactly like 1992. Even though I was not in USA, from my reading, some of the similarities are:

  • Bush was president
  • Housing and financials were in trouble
  • Economy was in recession
  • Jobless rate was high
  • Young democratic candidate was inspiring America
Once Clinton was in office, we all know how markets did in 1990's. Hope Obama would do same for markets in next 8 years

Good night and good luck !

/Shyam

Comments

Anonymous said…
good luck with with that shy

i sincerly like you but i caution readers of this blog that this is dead wrong (spy p/e 26 and that is bottom LMFAO)

if you want i will illuminate many reasons why but if you overlook my previous comments you will see i have been dead on

deflation is a nasty girl shy

dont become a cramer
9:40 PM
Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Clicks to Tokens: Will 2026 Echo 1998's Boom or 2000's Bust?

My "blogging" was in hibernation last 8 months due to my self-imposed restraint given the environment as well as built-in inertia to get started despite so many interesting events and markets reaching all time highs after taking a big dump around "Liberation Day" in Apr...Around that time I had the blog ready that it would be repeat of Mar/Apr 2020 panic and recovery during onset of Covid Pandemic. The hunch happened to be correct and I was glad that I could keep and take some positions which I am still holding especially around AI theme. But that was then...as 2025 is about to wrap up in 10+ weeks, let's look at what's in store for rest of 2025 and 2026. And what's better time than to start writing again just before one of the most important week on the calendar with multiple key events coming up next week... Fed meeting to decide the course of interest rates - it's almost guaranteed that Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points (2nd time in 2025) and...
Post a Comment
Read more

2026: The Year of Convergence – Melt-up, Moonshots, or Mid-cycle Correction?

Happy New Year! After another period of self-imposed hibernation from the blog—partly due to the festivals, travel, intertia and partly to watch the dust settle on a chaotic 2025—I decided to use the quiet of this New Year’s morning to finally reboot.  Looking back at my October post,  “Clicks to Tokens,”  the hunch about the AI theme held firm. We spent much of 2025 debating whether we were in 1998 or 2000. As we enter 2026, the answer seems to be "neither and both." We have the roaring optimism of the 1920s fueled by "Silicon Spirits," but with the high-speed volatility of the 2020s. So, as the calendar flips, what is in store for 2026? Markets may experience melt-up (S&P touching 8000),  with some moonshots (like SpaceX and OpenAI) IPOs or even see mid-cycle correction bringing down S&P to 6000. That's a wide range and will be decided by Four R's... Here are my thoughts on the " Four R’s ":  Rates, Robots, Rotations, and Real Assets. 1. ...
Post a Comment
Read more

And the Oscar goes to...

It's Oscar Sunday and time for predictions for few categories - before I digress into talking about drama in DC or markets.  First of all, I want to recognize the damage LA fires have done to the beloved areas of Los Angeles and impacted families across all spectrums. My heart goes out to them and wish them recovery and rebuilding of their lives... This year's Oscar nominees and post nomination period had been interesting to say the least. Due to this, the field is wide open in almost all categories and that's what makes prediction game so interesting. Just to set expectations, I would consider a win if I get even 50% predictions correct given the dynamics of nominees this year. So here are my predictions - "And the Oscar goes to..." Best Picture - Anora (surprise could be "The Brutalist") Best Director - Sean Baker for "Anora" (Surprise could be Brady Corbet for "The Brutalist") Best Actor - Adrien Brody for "The Brutalist"...
Post a Comment
Read more