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Showing posts from December, 2016

Adios 2016;Happy New Year 2017!

As we say Adios to 2016 and welcome new year 2017, it's time to take stock of 2016 recommendations done in first blog-post of 2016 and come up with new recommendations for 2017. So here is report card of 2016 recommendations. In all, I recommended 16 stocks at start of 2016 with very clear indication that these are not for normal investors since they reflect my aggressive style of investing (after all blog is called "seeking alpha"). In all out of 16 recommendations, 6 were negative and 10 were positive. Losses range from 100% for LNCO, 94% for SUNE to 35% for FOLD. Gains range from 160% for VEDL, 144% for CHK-PD to 14% for OIL. In all assuming approx equal amount was invested in all 16 recommendations, the portfolio would have returned 28% not counting any dividends etc. This beats S&P by approx 18% which seems to be overall good performance. Of course it came with extreme volatility especially during months of Feb and Jun (around Brexit time). So as I have mention

Trump Inc Startup: Ultimate Unicorn

Two weeks back I predicted that DOW would reach 20K in first quarter of 2017. Looks like it may touch even before end of 2016. I am sure many folks who are investing in stocks are happy with that and must be thanking Trump for that (even though he is not even President yet). Last week Trump met bigwigs from Technology world for the first time. Given than all except one were against him, it must have been an interesting meeting. Conpiciously other than Palantir and Uber, none of the so called Unicorns were present. Most of the presence was by big companies with market caps over $100 Billion. Talking about Unicorns, "Trump's Presidential bid" must be the ultimate unicorn of all time and majority of folks missed seeing this unicorn which was in front of us for last 18 months. Only few folks from technology - Peter Thiel being one of them (no wonder Peter made big money in Paypal, Palantir and Facebook). So let's look at "Trump's campaign" as startup and

Trumponomics: DOW 20K

Now that I have started writing blog again, I have decided to get into habit of writing blogs every couple of weeks. Somehow I let complete election season go without writing much and expressing my views. Anyway, based on various bets I lost (4 to be exact), my friends (and family know) whom I was supporting in elections. I really wanted to see first Madam President. But alas, that did not happen due to some campaigning mistakes (and little bit of arrogance to ignore Michigan and Wisconsin).  Now that Trump is going to be our President, I am fully on board in supporting Donald Trump as President of USA starting in Jan. What surprised me was the margin of his election victory and how markets took U-turn (for better) after hearing his acceptance speech. No-one would have thought that DOW would cross 19K if Trump wins. But here we are - all three indexes at all time high. Oil is back in action heading towards $60. What is Trumponomics: Big tax cuts - hoping that trickle down effect