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Showing posts from September, 2019

Is IPO party over?

2019 was supposed to be multi-billion unicorns coming out to markets with big bang with their stocks going up by 50% plus on first day. But suddenly these unicorns are finding that staying private was much easier than public scrutiny on their books. WeWork had to cancel it's IPO because valuation it was getting was nearly 70% below last valuation of $47Billion. Uber and Lyft also had to reduce their valuations and they are further down by 30-40%. Peleton is down by 15% since their IPO price. Slack is down by 40% since opening day price. There are few exceptions like Zoom and Guardant Health. But generally mood is downbeat. Is IPO market having Autumn Blues or is this the start of trend similar to what we saw in late cycle during dot.com bubble? It feels very much like late 90's - similarities are too many to ignore. Let's look at them Longest economic cycles (1991-2001 and 2009-2019). So the economic cycle is getting tired and markets are betting that recession is in si