Skip to main content

Let's do some Balancing Act !

One week up, one week down. That's the market summary and it would continue for next few months with DOW hovering around 10000 (with range from 9500 to 10500). So it is ideal time to do some balancing of portfolio to protect the yearly gains and move the money into safer alternatives. All year round, most of my recommendations were in high beta stocks. Many of them did extremely well (e. XL, HIG, LNC, HUN, IDG and many others). Some of them were duds (CIT-A, DRYS). Winners outpaced losers by 3:1 margin. So now it is time to lock and protect those gains.

Here is high-level portfolio allocation recommendation - it may change based on individual age and risk tolerance and many other factors.

If your age is between 30-40:
  • Bonds, CDs, cash and bond mutual funds: 25%
  • Stocks, Preferred stocks and equity mutual funds: 75%
If your age is between 40-50:
  • Bonds, CDs, cash and bond mutual funds: 35-40%
  • Stocks, Preferred stocks and equity mutual funds: 60-65%
If your age is between 50-60:
  • Bonds, CDs, cash and bond mutual funds: 50%
  • Stocks, Preferred stocks and equity mutual funds: 50%
So now that markets had reached short-term equilibrium, it's time to move some of the stocks into balanced mutual funds. Here are two of my recommendations in this area:

  • Vanguard Wellesley Income

    (MUTF:VWINX). The investment seeks to provide long-term growth of income and a high and sustainable level of current income, along with moderate long-term capital appreciation. The fund invests approximately 60% to 65% of assets in investment-grade corporate, U.S. Treasury, and government agency bonds, as well as mortgage-backed securities. The remaining 35% to 40% of fund assets are invested in common stocks of companies that have a history of above-average dividends or expectations of increasing dividends.
  • Vanguard STAR

    (MUTF:VGSTX): The investment seeks long-term capital appreciation and income. The fund invests in a diversified group of other Vanguard mutual funds, rather than in individual securities. The Fund follows a balanced investment approach by placing 60% to 70% of its assets in common stocks through eight stock funds; 20% to 30% of its assets in bonds through two bond funds
For a change, these are low beta, stable recommendations. With vanguard, one does not have to worry about costs since both these have very low expense ratios and long history. Use your own due-diligence and do portfolio balancing based on your criteria.

Have a good week !

/Shyam

Comments

Anonymous said…
Great information. Quick question, what advice do you have for someone in their mid 20's with about 1000/month to invest? Thanks for all your input.
Shyam said…
For folks in age-group of 20-30, I would suggest 80% stocks and 20% bonds. Select few vanguard funds and do monthly investments of $200 in 5 funds (4 stocks and 1 bond fund). This way you don't have to worry about timing the market
Anonymous said…
Thanks a lot. I am also in the 20-30 age range and am looking at a slightly aggressive approach towards stocks. Are there any funds, stocks you can recommend for me to invest in regularly? - thankyou for your uselful insights.
Shyam said…
Check out my blog - normally my recommendations are very aggressive but if you are willing to take risk and able to do your own due diligence, they should provide you enough tips to get started. Always do your own due diligence and get comfortable with your own investing style. Good Luck !

Popular posts from this blog

2025 = Is it going to be 1997 or 2000?

Happy Holidays... After 5 months of hibernation with no real reason than writing block, I decided to use quiet morning of Christmas day to start writing again. Lot has happened in last 5 months - in particular release of Animal Spirits with Fed starting interest rate reduction cycle and historic victory of President Trump for 2nd term. As the year turns into 2025 and stock markets at all time high, one would wonder, what's next?  To answer this, one needs to look back at 1920s and 1990s to give us some context on where markets may be headed. 1920s saw invention of televisions, radio, wider adoption of cars, vacuums, penicillin and many other which we consider household items now. These inventions created roaring 20s with markets going up by 500% eventually leading to crash of 1929. However during mid-20s, markets keep going up due to excitement of these inventions and end of World War-1 and Spanish Flu Pandemic. 1990s also saw many inventions - the key being launch of Netscape in 1...

Elections and Rotations!

2024 will be known as an important year in terms of elections (97 nations covering half the population) across the major countries in the world. We are only halfway thru the year and already some key nations have gone thru elections and voters have indicated their preference for change (in a way). Let's take a look at few. India - Modi's BJP started with lots of enthusiasm with slogans of "Modi ki Guarantee" and "400 paar" (more than 400) seats (out of 543). Indian voters (which I considered one of the most smartest) gave reality check to Modi and BJP by reducing BJP count to 240 (from 303 in previous parliament) forcing it to form coalition government. I have lot more detailed hypothesis on these results (but not here). Almost everyone (including me) got their predictions wrong and lost some friendly bets. Indians want balance between "Strong, Prosperous, Proud" India with "Inclusive, Employment and Harmony". Modi and BJP are quick learn...

The "i" factors are back again!

Happy Earth Day! In following Stotra, we remember Mother Earth every morning before touching feet to the ground. समुद्रवसने   देवि   पर्वतस्तनमण्डले   । विष्णुपत्नि   नमस्तुभ्यं   पादस्पर्शं   क्षमस्वमे   ॥ Samudra-Vasane Devi Parvata-Stana-Mannddale | Vissnnu-Patni Namas-Tubhyam Paada-Sparsham Kssamasva-Me || Meaning : 1:  (Oh Mother Earth) O  Devi , You Who have the  Ocean  as Your  Garments , and  Mountains  as Your  Bosom , 2:  O  Consort  of  Lord Vishnu ,  Salutations  to  You ; Please  Forgive my Touch  of the  Feet  (on Earth, which is Your Holy Body). (source: Green Message site) So let's make sure that we honor Earth every day and preserve her for millions of years..After all we have only ONE! It has been six weeks since I wrote about markets. During that time, markets reached all time highs (almost touching 5300) and down by 5% from those levels. W...