Skip to main content

Predictions 2006

Since this is first time I am writing blog on a new year eve and I am kind of fond of predicting some of the stock actions, I thought let me put it in writing so I can evaluate if they were on target or not. Some of these may be obvious but nonetheless let me put them in writing. I am willing to take bets (Bhandi - are you up for it:-)

Top 5 stock predictions:

Google: Google hitting $ 500 (pre-split)in next 6 months (before 7/1/06), gets included in S&P and gets split
PALM: Will hit $ 40 by year-end
Apple: Will split 2:1 and hit $ 42 after split ($ 84 before split)
EBAY: Will cross $ 50 in next 9 months (before 10/1/06)
Click Commerce (CKCM): An RFID vendor will cross $ 30 (currently at $ 21)

Mutual Funds:
- Japan and Korea based mutual funds continue to do well. Watch out for Profunds Ultra Japan and fidelity Korea funds
- Health care industry would continue to return decent returns

Indian stocks:
- BSE index will cross 10500 by year end
- Aptech will touch 200 in one year (currently at 138)
- Apollo Hostpitals will reach 625 in one year (currently at 490). Medical tourism will start gaining major traction and since Apollo is best positioned in this space will start getting noticed
- Hexaware Technologies will reach 180 by year end (currently at 130)

Trends in Politics:
- By year end, Hillay will start giving indications about being candidate for 2008 presidential election
- John McCain's candidacy on Republican ticket will start getting momentum
- No major changes in Indian Politics other than BJP trying to stay relavent by creating some new about internal party politics

Personal resolutions:
- Excersize at least 2 days a week (just a simple jog in morning)
- Other resolutions are too private to list them here:-)

Happy new year !

Shyam

Comments

Anonymous said…
तुमची भविष्यवाणी ब-यापैकी खरी ठरली - गुगलचे समभाग ५०० डॉलरला स्पर्शून गेले होते. आता ४६२ च्या आसपास आहेत. तसेच, मुंबई शेयर बाजाराचा निर्देशांक १०५०० च्या बराच वर गेला. अभिनंदन! आता २००७ साठी काय अंदाज आहे? :)

Popular posts from this blog

2024: The year of.....

Wishing you a joyful New Year filled with laughter, love, and unforgettable moments, surrounded by cherished family and friends. May the 2024 bring similar gains as in 2023! I had great 2 weeks break with travels to Turkey with family and then solo trip to Palm Springs. Both places are amazing and definitely worth a visit if you get chance. Talking about gains in 2023 - Here is recap of 2023.. Inflation fallen below 4% and heading towards 3% Unemployment firmly below 4% Real wages growing above 4% GDP growth around 3% Markets: S&P notching one of the best year with 24% gains while Nasdaq doing even better with 40% gains thanks to Magnificent-7 (or TAMMANNA) many of which had triple digit gains My personal recommendations did exceptionally well - many of which were up by high double digits (e.g. INTC) and some of them had triple digit gains (e.g. META) All in all - 2023 was great year.  As calendar changed to 2024, what's in store for new year? This is election year in many coun

Roaring 20s....Again!

About 2 years back coming out of COVID pandemic, I wrote blog titled " New Roarin' 20s.."  It covered what happened in 1920s and what are the factors now which would trigger new roaring 20s. Do check out the blog...almost all factors are valid even now. 2022 went sideways due to inflation pressures which triggered historical steep rate hikes by central banks which led to tech companies taking more measured approach and laying off 200,000 employees....all of that changed in Nov'22 when ChatGPT was launched...even though I had mentioned AI/ML as one of the factor in my previous blog, ChatGPT really captured the imagination of the world and changed the outlook of AI instantly similar to what Netscape did with the Internet and iPhone did with the mobile. The singular concept of "Language is the Interface" made AI accessible instantly to billions of normal people....And now without mentioning AI, no talk starts or ends in tech world..and despite onsite of most-aw

It was not meant to be...

I imagined today' day (Nov 19, 2023) little differently than what it turned out to be..had a watch gathering at my place with few friends for India vs Aus ICC Cricket World Cup Final. Both teams deserved to be in the final - India winning all games in this tournament and Aus winning last 8 games after initially losing 2 games at start of tournament. The match was being played at the biggest stadium in the world (over 132,000 capacity) and over billion people tuning in...maybe most watched single sports event ever. After Australia won the toss, they choose to field (that's what most likely India wanted). India started well but then wickets kept dropping and India ended with total of 240 all out. That's when all of us knew that the dream of winning third world cup is over...despite one of the best bowling squad India ever had....The score was just not enough even for the best bowling to defend against one of the most professional and mentally strong team....No wonder Australi