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Race to Trillion!

The earnings season is almost getting wrapped up and race to become first trillion $ company is getting to finish line. During dot-com bubble, there were couple of contenders mentioned (Cisco, Microsoft) but then bubble busted and these companies lost the momentum in that race. During last few years, the race is back on and most likely in 2018 we will see first even trillion $ company. Here are real contenders in that order:

  1. Apple: $927 Billion
  2. Amazon: $780 Billion
  3. Microsoft: $750 Billion
  4. Alphabet: $764 Billion
  5. Facebook: $550 Billion
Not surprisingly that all of these are tech companies and within themselves they have market cap approaching $4 Trillion (exceeding GDP of all but top 4 countries - US, China, Japan and Germany). Given the momentum Apple has regained after latest earnings results, the crown would most likely go to Apple to become first company to cross this milestone in 2018 followed by Amazon either in 2018 or 2019. Remaining two companies (Google and Microsoft) also would cross this milestone in 2019. (Aramaco would be first trillion $ valuation company at its IPO). Reaching the height of valuation is one thing - what happens after that is more important. How big these companies can get in terms of their valuations? As long as these companies change the ways people live, play and work and create amazing products/services and generate loads of profits, they would keep on reaching new milestones of valuations.
After weeks and ups and downs with increased volatility, finally markets have come back to positive for the year. Earnings season has been reasonably good with help from Trump tax cuts. President Trump has created less uncertainties - in fact he is doing reasonably ok on US-North Korea summit in Jun. Unemployment is lowest in two decades, interest rates are still low and FED is on track to raise rates at steady pace (2 more this year followed by 3 next year). So it almost feels like Goldilocks economy. I am staying with my recommendations which I did few months back in "Bet on BET (Biotech, Energy, Tech)" In particular I am really excited that finally energy would catch up with rest of market. So consider XBI ($90), XLE ($75) and XLK($68) for possible double-digit returns for rest of 2018.
Happy Mother's Day to All Mothers!

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