Skip to main content

Time for Thanksgiving?

What a change few weeks can make? Just 5-6 weeks back, markets were collapsing and pundits were talking about possible recession coming and then come Oct 31, Japanese central bank started printing press to start printing yen. Suddenly market sentiment changed and all indexes are close to multi-year highs. So question is - what's next? Looking at historic patterns, holiday season has always been very good for markets. So I expect all clear to break some records and end the year on highs. In fact I would claim that DOW would break 18000 and S&P may touch (or come very close) to 2100. It may be little tougher for Nasdaq to break 5000 but you never know. So if don't do anything, you should expect 2-3% gain from here to year end. But having said that one could potentially start setting up for 2015. Here are some ideas with usual dis-claimers of watch out for risk.

  • NFLX at $350
  • YELP at $55
  • SCTY below $50
  • SPWR below $27
  • CSIQ below $26
  • FEYE below $30
  • GILD below $96
  • BABA below $100
  • ISIS below $45
  • ARWR around $5.50
These are all high beta stocks. Hence if you do plan to invest, plan to sell out of money calls for 10% gains. That's all for now.
Happy Thanksgiving!
/Shyam

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

2024: The year of.....

Wishing you a joyful New Year filled with laughter, love, and unforgettable moments, surrounded by cherished family and friends. May the 2024 bring similar gains as in 2023! I had great 2 weeks break with travels to Turkey with family and then solo trip to Palm Springs. Both places are amazing and definitely worth a visit if you get chance. Talking about gains in 2023 - Here is recap of 2023.. Inflation fallen below 4% and heading towards 3% Unemployment firmly below 4% Real wages growing above 4% GDP growth around 3% Markets: S&P notching one of the best year with 24% gains while Nasdaq doing even better with 40% gains thanks to Magnificent-7 (or TAMMANNA) many of which had triple digit gains My personal recommendations did exceptionally well - many of which were up by high double digits (e.g. INTC) and some of them had triple digit gains (e.g. META) All in all - 2023 was great year.  As calendar changed to 2024, what's in store for new year? This is election year in many coun

Roaring 20s....Again!

About 2 years back coming out of COVID pandemic, I wrote blog titled " New Roarin' 20s.."  It covered what happened in 1920s and what are the factors now which would trigger new roaring 20s. Do check out the blog...almost all factors are valid even now. 2022 went sideways due to inflation pressures which triggered historical steep rate hikes by central banks which led to tech companies taking more measured approach and laying off 200,000 employees....all of that changed in Nov'22 when ChatGPT was launched...even though I had mentioned AI/ML as one of the factor in my previous blog, ChatGPT really captured the imagination of the world and changed the outlook of AI instantly similar to what Netscape did with the Internet and iPhone did with the mobile. The singular concept of "Language is the Interface" made AI accessible instantly to billions of normal people....And now without mentioning AI, no talk starts or ends in tech world..and despite onsite of most-aw

It was not meant to be...

I imagined today' day (Nov 19, 2023) little differently than what it turned out to be..had a watch gathering at my place with few friends for India vs Aus ICC Cricket World Cup Final. Both teams deserved to be in the final - India winning all games in this tournament and Aus winning last 8 games after initially losing 2 games at start of tournament. The match was being played at the biggest stadium in the world (over 132,000 capacity) and over billion people tuning in...maybe most watched single sports event ever. After Australia won the toss, they choose to field (that's what most likely India wanted). India started well but then wickets kept dropping and India ended with total of 240 all out. That's when all of us knew that the dream of winning third world cup is over...despite one of the best bowling squad India ever had....The score was just not enough even for the best bowling to defend against one of the most professional and mentally strong team....No wonder Australi