Skip to main content

World-Series:Red-Sox vs Cardinals - who will win?

Normally I am not into baseball. But given history buff and always trying to find some interesting co-relation, I start following it in Fall when playoffs start. I definitely follow world series since that's kind of movie climax (for readers outside USA, don't fret over calling it as world-series. Americans always thought that America is world and hence they end up calling most of their game finals as world-something). This year Baseball world series started with Boston Red Sox and St. Louis Cardinals tied at 1:1 each. Another 5 games to go and it's about time to start predicting winner!
Let's look at some interesting connections. I was reading an article in WSJ. As expected "Blue" states are supporting Red Sox (with exception from Texas) while majority of "Red" states are supporting Cardinals. Even New-yorkers who consider Red Sox as arch rival to Yankees are supporting Red Sox. So given this co-relation between politics and sports, I am predicting Red Sox winning their 8th world series championship. Now that would be good news for markets. I did some data mining. Out of 7 years Red Sox has won World Series, 5 of them DOW had significant gains (10-20%). So with democrats winning political debate (except botched roll out of healthcare.gov), DOW climbing to all time high, Red Sox had another shot at winning World Series. Knowing my political alignment, you know whom I would be supporting!
Earnings cycle is on full throttle with most of the companies giving good results. Next week two most important earnings would be released. Apple and FB. My prediction is both would beat earnings and revenue projections. I am most excited about FB earnings. It could surprise markets by first $2 Billion quarter. That could propel FB stock towards $60. Nov could also bring some excitement with Twitter IPO. Upto $20 Billion valuation, Twitter would be a good company to invest. Many companies in my favorite sector Solar would also be reporting next week. I am especially bullish on SPWR and under $30, it could provide good long-term entry-point.
That's all for now. Go Red-Sox!

/Shyam

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

2025 = Is it going to be 1997 or 2000?

Happy Holidays... After 5 months of hibernation with no real reason than writing block, I decided to use quiet morning of Christmas day to start writing again. Lot has happened in last 5 months - in particular release of Animal Spirits with Fed starting interest rate reduction cycle and historic victory of President Trump for 2nd term. As the year turns into 2025 and stock markets at all time high, one would wonder, what's next?  To answer this, one needs to look back at 1920s and 1990s to give us some context on where markets may be headed. 1920s saw invention of televisions, radio, wider adoption of cars, vacuums, penicillin and many other which we consider household items now. These inventions created roaring 20s with markets going up by 500% eventually leading to crash of 1929. However during mid-20s, markets keep going up due to excitement of these inventions and end of World War-1 and Spanish Flu Pandemic. 1990s also saw many inventions - the key being launch of Netscape in 1...

Clicks to Tokens: Will 2026 Echo 1998's Boom or 2000's Bust?

My "blogging" was in hibernation last 8 months due to my self-imposed restraint given the environment as well as built-in inertia to get started despite so many interesting events and markets reaching all time highs after taking a big dump around "Liberation Day" in Apr...Around that time I had the blog ready that it would be repeat of Mar/Apr 2020 panic and recovery during onset of Covid Pandemic. The hunch happened to be correct and I was glad that I could keep and take some positions which I am still holding especially around AI theme. But that was then...as 2025 is about to wrap up in 10+ weeks, let's look at what's in store for rest of 2025 and 2026. And what's better time than to start writing again just before one of the most important week on the calendar with multiple key events coming up next week... Fed meeting to decide the course of interest rates - it's almost guaranteed that Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points (2nd time in 2025) and...

And the Oscar goes to...

It's Oscar Sunday and time for predictions for few categories - before I digress into talking about drama in DC or markets.  First of all, I want to recognize the damage LA fires have done to the beloved areas of Los Angeles and impacted families across all spectrums. My heart goes out to them and wish them recovery and rebuilding of their lives... This year's Oscar nominees and post nomination period had been interesting to say the least. Due to this, the field is wide open in almost all categories and that's what makes prediction game so interesting. Just to set expectations, I would consider a win if I get even 50% predictions correct given the dynamics of nominees this year. So here are my predictions - "And the Oscar goes to..." Best Picture - Anora (surprise could be "The Brutalist") Best Director - Sean Baker for "Anora" (Surprise could be Brady Corbet for "The Brutalist") Best Actor - Adrien Brody for "The Brutalist"...