Skip to main content

Facebook IPO and Apple's lost $100 Billion!

Finally Facebook's IPO is here. One of the most hyped IPO (and it deserves all the hype it received) is finally here valuing Facebook at around $104 Billion - more than Cisco or Amazon as standalone or Dell/HP combined. Only time would tell if Facebook as company can grow into this valuation or is this top of its valuation! I am sure tomorrow's trading would be all about FB. I won't be surprised to see it pop over $50 at open. Interesting as I have predicted sometime back, savvy investors were taking profits out from Apple for investing in Facebook. Is it coincidental that Apple lost almost $100 Billion valuation from it's high - almost exactly same as Facebook valuation! After all stock market is all about capital moving from one company to another company. In late 1990s Yahoo/Ebay/Amzn/CSCO/MSFT were dominating stock market valuations. All the valuation moved to Google/Apple and now Facebook. It's just matter of time when capital moves from these companies to some new kids on block. That's how capitalism work (and should work). It's just sad to see 25-30 thousands of hard working employees would be losing jobs at HP when 2-3 thousand new millionaires are created in valley. And that's other not-so-good side of capitalism!
As expected fractured election results and post-election not-successful drama of government formation in Greece rattled markets across the world reminding people of 2008. Jun elections would be key for all of Europe, world and could impact even elections in USA. Who would have thought that a small country like Greece would have so profound impact on world. Well - those are the side-effects of capitalism.
So on this eve of Facebook IPO, good luck if you are planning to participate in this historic IPO!

/Shyam

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Clicks to Tokens: Will 2026 Echo 1998's Boom or 2000's Bust?

My "blogging" was in hibernation last 8 months due to my self-imposed restraint given the environment as well as built-in inertia to get started despite so many interesting events and markets reaching all time highs after taking a big dump around "Liberation Day" in Apr...Around that time I had the blog ready that it would be repeat of Mar/Apr 2020 panic and recovery during onset of Covid Pandemic. The hunch happened to be correct and I was glad that I could keep and take some positions which I am still holding especially around AI theme. But that was then...as 2025 is about to wrap up in 10+ weeks, let's look at what's in store for rest of 2025 and 2026. And what's better time than to start writing again just before one of the most important week on the calendar with multiple key events coming up next week... Fed meeting to decide the course of interest rates - it's almost guaranteed that Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points (2nd time in 2025) and...

2026: The Year of Convergence – Melt-up, Moonshots, or Mid-cycle Correction?

Happy New Year! After another period of self-imposed hibernation from the blog—partly due to the festivals, travel, intertia and partly to watch the dust settle on a chaotic 2025—I decided to use the quiet of this New Year’s morning to finally reboot.  Looking back at my October post,  “Clicks to Tokens,”  the hunch about the AI theme held firm. We spent much of 2025 debating whether we were in 1998 or 2000. As we enter 2026, the answer seems to be "neither and both." We have the roaring optimism of the 1920s fueled by "Silicon Spirits," but with the high-speed volatility of the 2020s. So, as the calendar flips, what is in store for 2026? Markets may experience melt-up (S&P touching 8000),  with some moonshots (like SpaceX and OpenAI) IPOs or even see mid-cycle correction bringing down S&P to 6000. That's a wide range and will be decided by Four R's... Here are my thoughts on the " Four R’s ":  Rates, Robots, Rotations, and Real Assets. 1. ...

And the Oscar goes to...

It's Oscar Sunday and time for predictions for few categories - before I digress into talking about drama in DC or markets.  First of all, I want to recognize the damage LA fires have done to the beloved areas of Los Angeles and impacted families across all spectrums. My heart goes out to them and wish them recovery and rebuilding of their lives... This year's Oscar nominees and post nomination period had been interesting to say the least. Due to this, the field is wide open in almost all categories and that's what makes prediction game so interesting. Just to set expectations, I would consider a win if I get even 50% predictions correct given the dynamics of nominees this year. So here are my predictions - "And the Oscar goes to..." Best Picture - Anora (surprise could be "The Brutalist") Best Director - Sean Baker for "Anora" (Surprise could be Brady Corbet for "The Brutalist") Best Actor - Adrien Brody for "The Brutalist"...