Skip to main content

"Tere Bin Laden" world is safer and better place !

Last Sunday US Navy Seals killed Obama by going deep into Pakistan and finishing the job in 40 minutes. Since 9/11, all world was waiting for this event which took nearly 10 years and hundreds of billions of $$ if you include cost of two wars. Finally it took some good intelligence work by CIA, bravery of few good men, not trusting supposed "partner" (Pakistan) in this war on terror and most importantly decision to go forward with raid by President Obama. Well done Mr. President ! World is much safer and better place without Bin Laden.

Market reaction was usual - initial euphoria on killing of Laden news gave away with nervousness due to heights markets have reached and uncertainty going forward. The sell-off gained momentum especially on Thursday with rout it commodities market with many of them down by double-digit %. So is commodity bubble busted ? In short term, it looks like. It all depends on how US economy holds up in 2nd quarter and Chinese actions on slowing down its economy. But I feel that this sell-off may be short-lived and commodities would start rising again in next few weeks. I may consider investing in SLV at around $30 and ERX at around $66

Check out spoof on Obama Speech - I like the line about "thank you for 2 terms" which I think Obama deserves !

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xlOIy6QEbes

Have a great weekend !

/Shyam


Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

2025 = Is it going to be 1997 or 2000?

Happy Holidays... After 5 months of hibernation with no real reason than writing block, I decided to use quiet morning of Christmas day to start writing again. Lot has happened in last 5 months - in particular release of Animal Spirits with Fed starting interest rate reduction cycle and historic victory of President Trump for 2nd term. As the year turns into 2025 and stock markets at all time high, one would wonder, what's next?  To answer this, one needs to look back at 1920s and 1990s to give us some context on where markets may be headed. 1920s saw invention of televisions, radio, wider adoption of cars, vacuums, penicillin and many other which we consider household items now. These inventions created roaring 20s with markets going up by 500% eventually leading to crash of 1929. However during mid-20s, markets keep going up due to excitement of these inventions and end of World War-1 and Spanish Flu Pandemic. 1990s also saw many inventions - the key being launch of Netscape in 1...
Post a Comment
Read more

And the Oscar goes to...

It's Oscar Sunday and time for predictions for few categories - before I digress into talking about drama in DC or markets.  First of all, I want to recognize the damage LA fires have done to the beloved areas of Los Angeles and impacted families across all spectrums. My heart goes out to them and wish them recovery and rebuilding of their lives... This year's Oscar nominees and post nomination period had been interesting to say the least. Due to this, the field is wide open in almost all categories and that's what makes prediction game so interesting. Just to set expectations, I would consider a win if I get even 50% predictions correct given the dynamics of nominees this year. So here are my predictions - "And the Oscar goes to..." Best Picture - Anora (surprise could be "The Brutalist") Best Director - Sean Baker for "Anora" (Surprise could be Brady Corbet for "The Brutalist") Best Actor - Adrien Brody for "The Brutalist"...
Post a Comment
Read more

The Politics and Gamesmanship of TikTok!

TikTok is less than 3 hours from going dark on USA's east coast if TikTok owner Bytedance (and Chinese Government) follows thru its "bluff" to honor the law " Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act" which goes into effect on Jan 19, 2025. And suddenly there is lots of politics and gamesmanship around TikTok.. Let's look at the players and their positions US Congress: The " TikTok Ban" law was passed by congress with bipartisan support and coincidently it goes into effect one day before new administration takes charge. Everyone knew the exact date and time of oath taking ceremony of new President...but maybe the congress did not think that there would be change of President and did not bother to put effective date post new government taking charge...that created a window of 36 hours of "law being in effect" unless... President Biden: Biden himself did not think that he won't be President for 2nd term. S...
Post a Comment
Read more