Skip to main content

Return to normal in June !

I am glad that May is over. It is one of the most terrible month personally for me. My dear father passed away at age 69 due to post-surgery complications on May 16. If you are around Pune and had to go to hospital, AVOID Ruby Hall at all cost. It is one of the worst hospital in terms on post-operative care. I wish someone had warned me about this before my father's bypass surgery.

Please spread the word about avoiding Ruby Hall, Pune at all costs for any treatment !

It has been 2 weeks since my father passed away - myself and my family are coming to terms and returning to our normal lives. Life would never be same when you lose someone dear to your heart and has been an inspiring figure all your life. But life must go on !

I am so looking forward to forgetting this dreadful month of May 2010. Coincidentally it is worst May month since 1940 with 8% monthly loss. I never thought my prediction about "Sell in May and walk away" would be so right on target. I wish it did not !

Looking forward, I am expecting markets to return to normal in June to get ready for second quarter results. Now that Dow has dipped below 10000 twice, it has got much needed correction. It sets a good stage for recovery rally and on its upward march towards 11000. Markets should recover 2-4% in month of Jun which would take DOW above 10500.
By year end, DOW would end above 11000 and possibly closer to 11500 which would be about 10% from current levels. In this correction, there are so many stocks below my recommended price and could offer 50% return in next 9-12 months. Here are some recommendations:
  • PMI ($4), RDN ($10), MBI ($7)
  • SFI ($6), SFI-PD ($15)
  • KEY ($8), SNV ($3), RF ($7.5)
  • XTXI ($7), AHD ($4.4), MMR ($10)
  • FAS ($22), DRN ($38), TYH ($28), ERX ($27)
  • CNO ($5.5), PNX ($2.6)
The price in bracket is recommended buy price. You should consider buying around recommended price and sell after 50% return in next 9-12 months. Till you sell, you can cash out on volatility by selling call options every month.

/Shyam


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

2024: The year of.....

Wishing you a joyful New Year filled with laughter, love, and unforgettable moments, surrounded by cherished family and friends. May the 2024 bring similar gains as in 2023! I had great 2 weeks break with travels to Turkey with family and then solo trip to Palm Springs. Both places are amazing and definitely worth a visit if you get chance. Talking about gains in 2023 - Here is recap of 2023.. Inflation fallen below 4% and heading towards 3% Unemployment firmly below 4% Real wages growing above 4% GDP growth around 3% Markets: S&P notching one of the best year with 24% gains while Nasdaq doing even better with 40% gains thanks to Magnificent-7 (or TAMMANNA) many of which had triple digit gains My personal recommendations did exceptionally well - many of which were up by high double digits (e.g. INTC) and some of them had triple digit gains (e.g. META) All in all - 2023 was great year.  As calendar changed to 2024, what's in store for new year? This is election year in many coun

Roaring 20s....Again!

About 2 years back coming out of COVID pandemic, I wrote blog titled " New Roarin' 20s.."  It covered what happened in 1920s and what are the factors now which would trigger new roaring 20s. Do check out the blog...almost all factors are valid even now. 2022 went sideways due to inflation pressures which triggered historical steep rate hikes by central banks which led to tech companies taking more measured approach and laying off 200,000 employees....all of that changed in Nov'22 when ChatGPT was launched...even though I had mentioned AI/ML as one of the factor in my previous blog, ChatGPT really captured the imagination of the world and changed the outlook of AI instantly similar to what Netscape did with the Internet and iPhone did with the mobile. The singular concept of "Language is the Interface" made AI accessible instantly to billions of normal people....And now without mentioning AI, no talk starts or ends in tech world..and despite onsite of most-aw

It was not meant to be...

I imagined today' day (Nov 19, 2023) little differently than what it turned out to be..had a watch gathering at my place with few friends for India vs Aus ICC Cricket World Cup Final. Both teams deserved to be in the final - India winning all games in this tournament and Aus winning last 8 games after initially losing 2 games at start of tournament. The match was being played at the biggest stadium in the world (over 132,000 capacity) and over billion people tuning in...maybe most watched single sports event ever. After Australia won the toss, they choose to field (that's what most likely India wanted). India started well but then wickets kept dropping and India ended with total of 240 all out. That's when all of us knew that the dream of winning third world cup is over...despite one of the best bowling squad India ever had....The score was just not enough even for the best bowling to defend against one of the most professional and mentally strong team....No wonder Australi