Skip to main content

5 Rules of Earning Steady Return from Stocks

I was thinking of how one can use current economic turmoil and depressed valuations to earn steady return from stocks. Following applies only if you are optimistic about overall long-term trend that things would recover. If you are pessimists, this does not apply - I would recommend keeping money under mattress (since you may not even trust any banks:-)

  1. Buy stocks of companies which you believe are going to survive and would not declare BK. This is easier said than done since no one believed that Lehman, Washington Mutual would go BK
  2. Buy stocks on days when these companies get penalized (go down by 50% in one day) due to some short-term market issues. Some examples would be HIG below $5, HUN below $3, GNW below $1, MS below $8, DRYS below $4 and so on. You need to be patient and buy only when such opportunities are presented. I always believe that markets are in-efficient in short-term
  3. Buy in quantities. 2000 if stock is below $2, 1000 if it is below $5, 500 if it is below $10. Basically invest about $5000 in one particular stock.
  4. Check out the volume in the stock. Daily volume needs to be at least 1 Million shares
  5. Once you have bought the stock, sell slightly out-of-money covered calls for immediate month (e.g. sell Jan 09) . For example, if stock price is $3-4, sell covered call with strike price of $5. Typically such contracts would be selling for 25-40 cents which would earn you about $250-400 (assuming you have 1000 shares and selling 10 contracts). Hopefully these contracts would expire worthless and you will keep your premium. If stock does go above $5, you would still benefit. Keep on doing this every month
This way one can keep the stock and earn steady returns (like monthly dividends) from your holdings. Most important rule above all is DO NOT do this on margin !

Good luck and good night !

/Shyam

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Clicks to Tokens: Will 2026 Echo 1998's Boom or 2000's Bust?

My "blogging" was in hibernation last 8 months due to my self-imposed restraint given the environment as well as built-in inertia to get started despite so many interesting events and markets reaching all time highs after taking a big dump around "Liberation Day" in Apr...Around that time I had the blog ready that it would be repeat of Mar/Apr 2020 panic and recovery during onset of Covid Pandemic. The hunch happened to be correct and I was glad that I could keep and take some positions which I am still holding especially around AI theme. But that was then...as 2025 is about to wrap up in 10+ weeks, let's look at what's in store for rest of 2025 and 2026. And what's better time than to start writing again just before one of the most important week on the calendar with multiple key events coming up next week... Fed meeting to decide the course of interest rates - it's almost guaranteed that Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points (2nd time in 2025) and...

2026: The Year of Convergence – Melt-up, Moonshots, or Mid-cycle Correction?

Happy New Year! After another period of self-imposed hibernation from the blog—partly due to the festivals, travel, intertia and partly to watch the dust settle on a chaotic 2025—I decided to use the quiet of this New Year’s morning to finally reboot.  Looking back at my October post,  “Clicks to Tokens,”  the hunch about the AI theme held firm. We spent much of 2025 debating whether we were in 1998 or 2000. As we enter 2026, the answer seems to be "neither and both." We have the roaring optimism of the 1920s fueled by "Silicon Spirits," but with the high-speed volatility of the 2020s. So, as the calendar flips, what is in store for 2026? Markets may experience melt-up (S&P touching 8000),  with some moonshots (like SpaceX and OpenAI) IPOs or even see mid-cycle correction bringing down S&P to 6000. That's a wide range and will be decided by Four R's... Here are my thoughts on the " Four R’s ":  Rates, Robots, Rotations, and Real Assets. 1. ...

And the Oscar goes to...

It's Oscar Sunday and time for predictions for few categories - before I digress into talking about drama in DC or markets.  First of all, I want to recognize the damage LA fires have done to the beloved areas of Los Angeles and impacted families across all spectrums. My heart goes out to them and wish them recovery and rebuilding of their lives... This year's Oscar nominees and post nomination period had been interesting to say the least. Due to this, the field is wide open in almost all categories and that's what makes prediction game so interesting. Just to set expectations, I would consider a win if I get even 50% predictions correct given the dynamics of nominees this year. So here are my predictions - "And the Oscar goes to..." Best Picture - Anora (surprise could be "The Brutalist") Best Director - Sean Baker for "Anora" (Surprise could be Brady Corbet for "The Brutalist") Best Actor - Adrien Brody for "The Brutalist"...