Skip to main content

Seeking Alpha in Indian Market

If you haven't came from another planet, you would have noticeed that lately Indian stock market has been on fire. Economy growing at about 9% per year, BSE index has been up about 40+ % in last two years. In such market, it's very difficult to beat the market when any stock you pick would do well. By defination, seeking alpha is nothing but find stocks which would return better than just by investing in any index funds.

I have been successfully investing in India for some time and have developed few skills to pick some stocks. At start of 2006, I have selected Aptech which I picked up at 130 rupees with target of 200 in 12 months. Check out in blog archives at:

Today it is 209 rupees. I recommended to some folks back home when it was 60.

But that was past (in stock market - no one cares about past) Let's talk about which stocks would do better going forward now that BSE index is at 14300 and it has become difficult to pick wining stocks. I am planning to write about one or two indian stocks periodically on my blog.


Teledata Informatics:
When I was in India in June 2006, I noticed this stock and found that it was trading at P/E of about 2 (at 14 rupees). This is an Indian software company with decent revenues and trading at P/E of 2. I could not believe so did some reaserch (with limited publications like capital markets). Decided to buy few shares to keep it on my radar. When overall market was breaking records, this stock remained in mid teens for few more months. People starting noticing it in last couple of months when it started moving from mid-teens and since then it has been locked at max 5% lock for quite few days. On Friday 2/15, it is trading at 47 ruppes. It has returned nearly 400% in 7-8 months.

It just published results for last quarter in which it earned 820 million rupees on revenue of over 3000 million rupees. With about 150 million shares, it is back to P/E of 2-3. It is going to be demerged in 3 companies with existing shareholders receiveing shares in all 3 companies. Unfortunately, there is dearth of quality information available on such companies. However considering it is mid-size software company and growing it's revenues and profits and demerging in 3 companies, my prediction is that it will touch
100 rupees by end of 2007..

I will talk about next stock in future posts (after I do some more research on other companies) ! Good night !

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

2025 = Is it going to be 1997 or 2000?

Happy Holidays... After 5 months of hibernation with no real reason than writing block, I decided to use quiet morning of Christmas day to start writing again. Lot has happened in last 5 months - in particular release of Animal Spirits with Fed starting interest rate reduction cycle and historic victory of President Trump for 2nd term. As the year turns into 2025 and stock markets at all time high, one would wonder, what's next?  To answer this, one needs to look back at 1920s and 1990s to give us some context on where markets may be headed. 1920s saw invention of televisions, radio, wider adoption of cars, vacuums, penicillin and many other which we consider household items now. These inventions created roaring 20s with markets going up by 500% eventually leading to crash of 1929. However during mid-20s, markets keep going up due to excitement of these inventions and end of World War-1 and Spanish Flu Pandemic. 1990s also saw many inventions - the key being launch of Netscape in 1...

Elections and Rotations!

2024 will be known as an important year in terms of elections (97 nations covering half the population) across the major countries in the world. We are only halfway thru the year and already some key nations have gone thru elections and voters have indicated their preference for change (in a way). Let's take a look at few. India - Modi's BJP started with lots of enthusiasm with slogans of "Modi ki Guarantee" and "400 paar" (more than 400) seats (out of 543). Indian voters (which I considered one of the most smartest) gave reality check to Modi and BJP by reducing BJP count to 240 (from 303 in previous parliament) forcing it to form coalition government. I have lot more detailed hypothesis on these results (but not here). Almost everyone (including me) got their predictions wrong and lost some friendly bets. Indians want balance between "Strong, Prosperous, Proud" India with "Inclusive, Employment and Harmony". Modi and BJP are quick learn...

The "i" factors are back again!

Happy Earth Day! In following Stotra, we remember Mother Earth every morning before touching feet to the ground. समुद्रवसने   देवि   पर्वतस्तनमण्डले   । विष्णुपत्नि   नमस्तुभ्यं   पादस्पर्शं   क्षमस्वमे   ॥ Samudra-Vasane Devi Parvata-Stana-Mannddale | Vissnnu-Patni Namas-Tubhyam Paada-Sparsham Kssamasva-Me || Meaning : 1:  (Oh Mother Earth) O  Devi , You Who have the  Ocean  as Your  Garments , and  Mountains  as Your  Bosom , 2:  O  Consort  of  Lord Vishnu ,  Salutations  to  You ; Please  Forgive my Touch  of the  Feet  (on Earth, which is Your Holy Body). (source: Green Message site) So let's make sure that we honor Earth every day and preserve her for millions of years..After all we have only ONE! It has been six weeks since I wrote about markets. During that time, markets reached all time highs (almost touching 5300) and down by 5% from those levels. W...