Skip to main content

It was not meant to be...

I imagined today' day (Nov 19, 2023) little differently than what it turned out to be..had a watch gathering at my place with few friends for India vs Aus ICC Cricket World Cup Final. Both teams deserved to be in the final - India winning all games in this tournament and Aus winning last 8 games after initially losing 2 games at start of tournament. The match was being played at the biggest stadium in the world (over 132,000 capacity) and over billion people tuning in...maybe most watched single sports event ever. After Australia won the toss, they choose to field (that's what most likely India wanted). India started well but then wickets kept dropping and India ended with total of 240 all out. That's when all of us knew that the dream of winning third world cup is over...despite one of the best bowling squad India ever had....The score was just not enough even for the best bowling to defend against one of the most professional and mentally strong team....No wonder Australia ended up with 6th World Cup Title...They outplayed India in every field - batting, bowling and most importantly fielding...

Billion dreams were broken with this loss and given that India won last two world cups in 1983 and 2011, we instantly knew how long we may have to wait for another win...it could be a decade. But we all feel even more sorry for all Indian players...They did their best throughout the tournament winning all games convincingly...But today it was not meant to me. Most of them will be retired or may not be selected for  next version of this tournament in 2027. So this was their only chance to make history (except Virat who was part of 2011 team). Hats off to all of them. While Virat Kohli deserved and won "Man of the Tournament",  he was visibly saddened that India could not win today's final. I wish at least Virat and Rohit play in 2027 and get another shot at making history.

In the end....It was not meant to be...

Weekend was interesting for another major news...OpenAI changed the world with launch of ChatGPT on Nov 30, 2022. It captured the imagination of world (not only tech world) and unleashed the power of AI which can be compared only with arrival of Internet in 1990s and Smart Phones with launch of the iPhone. But in less than one year the man behind this revolution Sam Altman was fired from CEO position of OpenAI....The reasons given are not clear or convincing. And now there are rumors that OpenAI board is trying to get him back as CEO...What a drama...it's even beyond typical Silicon Valley Startup drama...and we thought Twitter drama was the peak (that's still continuing but it has become as boring and repetative as recent Marvel movies)

What does it mean to AI revolution (or as some call "hype"). The AI genie is out of the bottle and firing of Sam Altman won't change that. In fact if Sam and OpenAI employees start another AI company, it would be able to instantly raise billions of $. 

Next week would be one of the most important earnings season for all of tech world - Nvidia. Can it repeat the feat of last two earnings?..Tech world is betting that it will be able to do exactly that. That would mean Nvidia would be nearly $75 Billion revenue company (from less than $25 billion) in less than one year. But now almost everyone wants a piece of Nvidia's GPU pie..Traditional competition like AMD, INTC as well cloud players like AMZN, Google, Tesla and now Microsoft. In two years there would be enough alternatives to run LLMs that Nvidia's earnings calls in 2025 would be quite different than in 2023. Till then Nvidia shareholders can enjoy the ride.

That's all for now...

Happy Thanksgiving!

/Shyam



Comments

Popular posts from this blog

2025 = Is it going to be 1997 or 2000?

Happy Holidays... After 5 months of hibernation with no real reason than writing block, I decided to use quiet morning of Christmas day to start writing again. Lot has happened in last 5 months - in particular release of Animal Spirits with Fed starting interest rate reduction cycle and historic victory of President Trump for 2nd term. As the year turns into 2025 and stock markets at all time high, one would wonder, what's next?  To answer this, one needs to look back at 1920s and 1990s to give us some context on where markets may be headed. 1920s saw invention of televisions, radio, wider adoption of cars, vacuums, penicillin and many other which we consider household items now. These inventions created roaring 20s with markets going up by 500% eventually leading to crash of 1929. However during mid-20s, markets keep going up due to excitement of these inventions and end of World War-1 and Spanish Flu Pandemic. 1990s also saw many inventions - the key being launch of Netscape in 1...

Elections and Rotations!

2024 will be known as an important year in terms of elections (97 nations covering half the population) across the major countries in the world. We are only halfway thru the year and already some key nations have gone thru elections and voters have indicated their preference for change (in a way). Let's take a look at few. India - Modi's BJP started with lots of enthusiasm with slogans of "Modi ki Guarantee" and "400 paar" (more than 400) seats (out of 543). Indian voters (which I considered one of the most smartest) gave reality check to Modi and BJP by reducing BJP count to 240 (from 303 in previous parliament) forcing it to form coalition government. I have lot more detailed hypothesis on these results (but not here). Almost everyone (including me) got their predictions wrong and lost some friendly bets. Indians want balance between "Strong, Prosperous, Proud" India with "Inclusive, Employment and Harmony". Modi and BJP are quick learn...

And the Oscar goes to...

It's Oscar Sunday and time for predictions for few categories - before I digress into talking about drama in DC or markets.  First of all, I want to recognize the damage LA fires have done to the beloved areas of Los Angeles and impacted families across all spectrums. My heart goes out to them and wish them recovery and rebuilding of their lives... This year's Oscar nominees and post nomination period had been interesting to say the least. Due to this, the field is wide open in almost all categories and that's what makes prediction game so interesting. Just to set expectations, I would consider a win if I get even 50% predictions correct given the dynamics of nominees this year. So here are my predictions - "And the Oscar goes to..." Best Picture - Anora (surprise could be "The Brutalist") Best Director - Sean Baker for "Anora" (Surprise could be Brady Corbet for "The Brutalist") Best Actor - Adrien Brody for "The Brutalist"...