As we are approaching holiday season and end of 2020, markets seem to have already moved into 2021 and as incorporating likely outcomes in 2021 with continued upward movement. Markets are trading close to all time highs (even after discounting last few days of sideway moments). Let's look at the 5 "V" Factors which are at play. Virus: COVID-19 virus would continue to dominate our lives well into 2021. We are into 3rd wave and this wave is even stronger than first two waves. Daily infections in US are over 150,000 and hospitalizations are also increasing at alarming rate. Various states and local governments are going back to curfews and partial lockdowns. Restaurants which saw some signs of life are being shut again. Even Thanksgiving holiday would be different this time with limited attendance at dinners and "no rush" Black Friday to start the most important holiday shopping season. Lack of coherent policy and fatigue of staying at home is causing this surge. ...
Commentary about markets and investment ideas and some random thoughts!